Active-Celebration
0x01aa9584d378a0c7a0ca6a025e70309e9b416e88
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$104.66
Total PnL
$-15.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
31 shares @ 95.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$29.36
$-0.64
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
16 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
7 shares @ 72.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.10
$0.10
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.97
$-0.03
- NO
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
6 shares @ 81.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
11 shares @ 18.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.28
$0.28
- YES
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-17?
9 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$2.13
$0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?$4.55May 14, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMChet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Thunder (-8.5)$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Juventus FC win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-09?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfB Stuttgart vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Toronto FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00May 13, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?$2.04May 12, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$2.05May 12, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?$2.04May 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-17?$2.05May 12, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$2.04May 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan end in a draw?$2.04May 12, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-05-16?$2.05May 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houston Dynamo vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?$2.04May 12, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?$2.04May 12, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SV Werder Bremen vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?$2.05May 12, 12:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 09:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".