Monumental-Calico
0x01da6f264b8abc3060fc811196ad7a7e3f0a35e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$11.86
Total PnL
$-2.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?
4 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.96
$1.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.68
$1.58
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
3 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.89
$1.59
- NO
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.32
$-0.38
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.73Jun 23, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$1.30Jun 3, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$2.95May 28, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?$2.14May 19, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$5.00May 11, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$1.30May 11, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2.10Apr 30, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$2.60Apr 23, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?$2.55Apr 17, 15:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 05:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.