0x01f3d871e6f316a580f3a0ba0c235ca92abfd4ab
0x01f3d871e6f316a580f3a0ba0c235ca92abfd4ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-643.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
251 shares @ 99.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$244.68
$-6.15
- NO
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
251 shares @ 99.9¢·now 96.8¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$242.92
$-7.91
- NO
Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
251 shares @ 99.9¢·now 95.9¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$240.66
$-10.17
- NO
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
251 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.6¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$235.01
$-15.82
- NO
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
251 shares @ 99.9¢·now 93.1¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$233.76
$-17.07
- YES
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
251 shares @ 99.8¢·now 17.2¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$43.33
$-207.50
- NO
Will Kahrabaa Ismailia FC win on 2026-05-04?
245 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-237.55
- NO
Will Japan GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 0.1% and 0.3%?
143 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-141.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?$229.86Jul 8, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$232.19Jul 4, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?$230.97Jul 2, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 1?$207.89Jul 1, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 1?$207.79Jul 1, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$230.24Jul 1, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$233.54Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$237.75Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?$230.13Jun 30, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$230.39Jun 30, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$230.54Jun 30, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?$230.93Jun 30, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?$154.18Jun 29, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?$161.92Jun 29, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?$136.32Jun 29, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?$161.85Jun 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Obsession" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?$136.26Jun 29, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 69m and 73m?$230.80Jun 29, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 69m?$154.11Jun 29, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 Week of June 22 2026?$72.78Jun 26, 23:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $209.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.