Harmless-Baseball
0x0224bb9eb0a5c9fd261ac9123a72cbdd5748292a
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
136
Open notional
$247.8K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$7.7K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 136- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
130000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$110.7K
$45.7K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
179620 shares @ 15.3¢·now 23.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$42.7K
$15.2K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
49643 shares @ 43.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$25.1K
$3.6K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
31535 shares @ 30.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.8K
$11.3K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
130000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.3K
$-45.7K
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
12000 shares @ 85.5¢·now 91.6¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$11.0K
$743.02
- NO
Iran Nuke before 2027?
7952 shares @ 91.8¢·now 92.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.3K
$17.86
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?
6000 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$6.0K
$43.00
- YES
Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
2198 shares @ 68.2¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.1K
$627.48
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
3174 shares @ 59.3¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.9K
$-25.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.22Jun 14, 06:50 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.0KJun 14, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$260.38Jun 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$806.25Jun 14, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$4.3KJun 14, 06:28 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.0KJun 14, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$49.75Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.7KJun 14, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$3.4KJun 14, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.54Jun 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.29Jun 14, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.0KJun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$400.75Jun 14, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$59.25Jun 14, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$532.00Jun 14, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$647.41Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.14Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$0.14Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$642.30Jun 14, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.1KJun 14, 02:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$15.4K
Trades
2
Buy share
47%
Window
May 18, 18:40 UTC → Jun 13, 07:44 UTC
- BUYIran Nuke before 2027?$7.3K@92¢Jun 13, 07:44 UTC
- SELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$8.1K@38¢May 18, 18:36 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.3K
1 trades
30d volume
$15.4K
2 trades
Buy share
47%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
$8.1K · 53% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $742.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 10:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.