0x026260138767c7d6e7f2afd4d0f5d636b3dfd7b6
0x026260138767c7d6e7f2afd4d0f5d636b3dfd7b6
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$855.07
Total PnL
$-785.41
Realised
$60.21
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
328 shares @ 61.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$218.03
$18.03
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
606 shares @ 33.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$160.59
$-39.39
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
269 shares @ 37.2¢·now 48.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$131.32
$31.32
- NO
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$108.82
$8.82
- NO
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
87 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$87.00
$6.09
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
220 shares @ 22.7¢·now 24.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$54.07
$4.08
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
135 shares @ 37.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.61
$-3.39
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
235 shares @ 21.3¢·now 19.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.95
$-5.05
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
408 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$3.68
$-24.22
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
19830 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-24.99
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $66.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 12:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.