Harmonious-Warren
0x02a4a0dd1aeb5057c93a1566c0d4ec25ea7f8ae9
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$11.78
Total PnL
$-36.23
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
5 shares @ 84.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.21
$0.20
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?
248 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.97
$0.71
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 2?
2 shares @ 87.5¢·now 84.7¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.09
$-0.07
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
193 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-0.89
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 33.7¢·now 31.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 2?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.04
$-0.96
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
162 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-32.25
- UP
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 28?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 2?$1.10Jun 2, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 2?$1.02Jun 2, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$1.00Jun 2, 11:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$0.13Jun 2, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$1.00Jun 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 2?$1.07Jun 1, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 1?$1.77Jun 1, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$1.36Jun 1, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$1.31Jun 1, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$2.35Jun 1, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$0.46May 31, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.50May 30, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?$1.04May 30, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?$1.01May 30, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?$1.01May 29, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 1?$1.72May 29, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on May 29?$1.05May 29, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $320 on May 29?$1.05May 29, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?$2.25May 29, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29?$1.02May 29, 08:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 13:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".