Oily-Method
0x02cdc537cab6a4919146e226b4a21f70fc22bd70
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$78.31
Total PnL
$-3.29
Realised
$0.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
9 shares @ 74.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$9.40
$2.40
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
18 shares @ 55.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$9.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
9 shares @ 79.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.82
$1.82
- NO
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 92.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.48
$0.48
- YES
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$5.63
$1.63
- YES
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$5.56
$0.56
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.63
$-0.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.12Mar 21, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shakira perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?$5.00Mar 21, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Mar 21, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.14Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.28Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.15Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.15Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.33Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.45Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.08Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$25.24Mar 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Original Score at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.00Mar 16, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$9.32Mar 12, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$0.00Mar 12, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$14.37Mar 12, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$3.00Mar 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$3.00Mar 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.00Mar 12, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 10:02 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 12:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.