Powerful-Waffle
0x02d18361aaba5070aef7387f87f2b305fba64210
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$100.34
Total PnL
$7.64
Realised
$2.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
61 shares @ 58.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.12
$3.85
- NO
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
59 shares @ 62.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$37.51
$0.89
- YES
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
48 shares @ 31.0¢·now 31.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.97
$0.09
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
32 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$2.25
$0.00
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?
3 shares @ 43.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$1.70
$0.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$2.04Jun 2, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$7.75Jun 2, 22:14 UTC
- MERGEWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$5.35Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- MERGEWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$41.53Jun 2, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$5.74Jun 2, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$2.50Jun 2, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$5.13Jun 2, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$13.48Jun 2, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$7.83Jun 2, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$0.15Jun 2, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.00Jun 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$23.84Jun 2, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$2.10Jun 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.60Jun 2, 10:55 UTC
- MERGEWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$5.00Jun 2, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$16.24Jun 2, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $6.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 22:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".