Stable-Sweets
0x035f5d9e0af357c02a05606b2c70c7c616c558dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$10.39
Total PnL
$-317.84
Realised
$-32.74
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.50
$0.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-0.40
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.05 (Low) in 2026?
24 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.49
$-1.17
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo get less than 15% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20100 (LOW) in March?
220 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?
200 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20400 (LOW) in March?
132 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?
124 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.24
- YES
Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) hit 20250 (LOW) in March?
107 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$0.19Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?$0.58Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?$1.89Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?$1.04Jun 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $495 in June?$10.15Jun 2, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026?$7.03Jun 1, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2.05Jun 1, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $480 Week of June 1 2026?$10.89Jun 1, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15.36Jun 1, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$15.86Jun 1, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$11.00May 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.55May 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$12.78May 28, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$15.17May 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$35.83May 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$33.21May 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?$2.12May 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?$4.79May 27, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$26.32May 27, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?$1.26May 25, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.