Hidden-Primary
0x03b3666b35e2f1ad6cfbb013a4a36acb13b4b227
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$371.86
Total PnL
$-512.60
Realised
$-13.75
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
89 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.59
$7.59
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
48 shares @ 84.0¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.52
$5.52
- YES
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
43 shares @ 92.5¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.54
$1.54
- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
32 shares @ 77.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$30.68
$5.68
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.85
$1.85
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$21.72
$1.72
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
44 shares @ 45.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.67
$0.67
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
17 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$14.89
$1.29
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.52
$1.52
- YES
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
83 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.17
$2.07
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government bans an open source AI model in 2026?$10.06Jul 22, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$0.87Jul 22, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.21Jul 22, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$4.09Jul 22, 17:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$21.74Jul 20, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?$10.31Jul 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$10.00Jul 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?$10.36Jul 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$6.76Jul 20, 13:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
77% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $12.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.