New-Penny
0x03e786b6e5c9b29d9d93fb84ff58d50be68b9948
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-34.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
2835 shares @ 84.3¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.4K
$-22.76
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
2877 shares @ 70.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.9K
$-106.94
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?
654 shares @ 87.1¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$562.49
$-7.51
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
897 shares @ 39.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$412.60
$62.60
- YES
Will Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?
455 shares @ 35.2¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.21
$-116.79
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
545 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$40.91
$-19.09
- NO
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
3125 shares @ 56.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- YES
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
2855 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-834.41
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
2238 shares @ 61.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?
988 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-178.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$2.1KJun 7, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$3.6KJun 7, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$100.20May 19, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$501.16May 19, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$501.15May 19, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$601.39May 19, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$61.43May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?$201.02May 19, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$102.28May 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kenyan McDuffie win the 2026 Democratic D.C. Mayoral Primary?$102.69May 18, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$2.6KMay 18, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$283.79May 15, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$507.19May 14, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$507.20May 14, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$452.90May 14, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?$1.0KMay 3, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?$100.59May 3, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$61.60Apr 29, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?$100.51Apr 29, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?$100.48Apr 29, 16:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $769.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 18:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.