Lonely-Diving
0x03f20cc587c069d0cc0308c502643efa7c94b3d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$541.11
Total PnL
$-181.57
Realised
$-0.88
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Renovación Popular (RP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?
60 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$59.97
$3.57
- NO
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$57.57
$0.23
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
40 shares @ 91.7¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.80
$-1.90
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
40 shares @ 84.9¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.00
$-4.96
- NO
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
20 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$19.99
$0.43
- NO
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.25T and 2.50T?
20 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.86
$0.46
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.80
$0.80
- YES
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$19.75
$0.95
- YES
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?
20 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.70
$0.70
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
20 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$19.69
$-0.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$20.00Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill OPEC crude oil production be above 21 million barrels per day in May?$20.00Jun 11, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in June?$19.00Jun 9, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OPEC crude oil production be above 18 million barrels per day in May?$16.40Jun 9, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026?$18.85Jun 8, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?$17.52Jun 8, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$18.64Jun 3, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in June?$19.00Jun 3, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 1 2026?$18.00Jun 3, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?$18.85Jun 3, 13:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?$18.38Jun 3, 13:14 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$24.39Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 Week of June 1 2026?$19.23Jun 1, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by 9% or more?$18.13Jun 1, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$26.32Jun 1, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$20.00Jun 1, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$21.05Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?$19.04May 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Palo Alto Networks (PANW) beat quarterly earnings?$18.99May 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?$18.31May 31, 17:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $18.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 23:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.