Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
Probability
14¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 14¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1063h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 16.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1062.9h
- 17:04SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1063h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:04PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 22¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 19¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 14¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 14¢
- 4d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of South Carolina, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Carolina Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Carolina Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- natoOfficial government sourceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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