Tepid-Tear
0x03fe9439673ef135e8d292885c5d55f0a5d94838
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
83
Open notional
$49.56
Total PnL
$-38.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
2 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
2 shares @ 44.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.65
$0.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.62
$0.62
- NO
Will any Minnesota politician be charged with fraud by March 31?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- MICHIGAN WOLVERINES
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.11
$0.11
- NO
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
1 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.09
$0.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAlabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$1.00Mar 23, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 23, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$0.60Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.01Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.04Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$1.06Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?$1.06Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$1.06Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan be a number 1 seed in the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball March Madness Tournament?$1.11Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$1.19Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition$1.56Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2.70Mar 23, 18:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$1.52Feb 20, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS government shutdown Saturday?$1.27Feb 6, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 6, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.00Feb 3, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?$1.00Feb 3, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?$1.00Feb 3, 18:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$1.00Feb 3, 18:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 18:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.