Innocent-Hour
0x0487798672dae021616ff2a19ec1761b58d0d452
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$13.44
Total PnL
$-168.32
Realised
$17.79
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.64
$-0.36
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
20 shares @ 22.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.90
$-0.50
- YES
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-1.10
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
18 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
1563 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.91
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
1300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
1000 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.59
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
900 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
481 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
333 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.00Jun 4, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.05Jun 1, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.40Apr 18, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.78Mar 23, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?$5.00Mar 8, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?$4.40Mar 4, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.16Mar 2, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$4.58Mar 1, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Charlie" or "Kirk" in Wisconsin on Thursday?$2.55Feb 26, 04:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$0.90Feb 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$4.50Feb 22, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?$2.40Feb 20, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 20, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.22Feb 19, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$3.68Feb 19, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$0.50Feb 18, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$2.50Feb 18, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$5.40Feb 16, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$0.00Feb 15, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$0.12Feb 15, 03:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 01:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".