Finished-Clearing
0x04af744561fbcb8403255554c120af618959a91b
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$28.66
Total PnL
$-12.32
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
29 shares @ 27.3¢·now 24.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$7.25
$-0.72
- YES
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?
10 shares @ 41.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$3.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
8 shares @ 37.8¢·now 30.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.40
$-0.61
- YES
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 77.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 24.9¢·now 24.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.06May 21, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.04May 21, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.03May 21, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 21, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.05May 21, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.05May 21, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 40-59 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$1.05May 21, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?$1.04May 21, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 21, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.03May 21, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?$1.04May 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?$1.02May 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$1.01May 21, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.02May 20, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs$2.04May 20, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$1.01May 20, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner$1.02May 20, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$3.06May 20, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".