0x04c67f71abc8e9141825e3efa66d200e62453425
0x04c67f71abc8e9141825e3efa66d200e62453425
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$105.47
Total PnL
$-57.77
Realised
$2.12
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
39 shares @ 94.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$39.35
$2.27
- NO
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
15 shares @ 53.6¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.26
$6.38
- NO
Netanyahu out by March 31?
9 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.82
$0.40
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
8 shares @ 87.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$8.26
$1.00
- YES
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
5 shares @ 83.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$5.01
$0.84
- NO
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
4 shares @ 47.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.44
$2.33
- NO
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.27
$0.15
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
4 shares @ 91.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.87
$0.33
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
4 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.82
$1.68
- NO
Will France strike Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.49
$0.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$14.60Mar 23, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.11Mar 23, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 7?$1.11Mar 23, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.14Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.30Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$1.78Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$1.00Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$2.25Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?$2.32Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.48Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$2.95Mar 23, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$3.14Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?$3.39Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?$4.33Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$7.67Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?$10.78Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$16.83Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$20.23Mar 23, 13:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$33.45Mar 23, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$1.16Mar 23, 12:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:12 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 13:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.