Guilty-Spring
0x04dcbd9b805b220a9b2d27e4d9e649ed07902387
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$16.4K
Total PnL
$-22.0K
Realised
$3.5K
Win rate
75%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?
1871 shares @ 64.7¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.7K
$483.37
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in June?
1894 shares @ 95.0¢·now 86.3¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.6K
$-165.91
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June?
1894 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.3K
$27.93
- YES
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?
1212 shares @ 34.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$788.08
- NO
Will annual inflation be 3.8% in June?
1894 shares @ 90.6¢·now 60.1¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.1K
$-578.62
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
1183 shares @ 22.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$1.0K
$763.24
- NO
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in June?
865 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$821.33
$77.81
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
820 shares @ 41.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$807.68
$468.85
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
800 shares @ 57.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$604.00
$148.00
- NO
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
565 shares @ 81.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$564.72
$104.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$81.23Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?$29.95Jun 13, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$41.05Jun 13, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$49.70Jun 13, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.60Jun 13, 04:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in May?$30.00Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$78.18Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in May?$93.33Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in May?$93.33Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be -0.3% or less in May?$96.34Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May?$96.34Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be -0.2% in May?$96.34Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?$96.34Jun 12, 21:11 UTC
- MERGEWill Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?$4.00Jun 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Cora be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?$59.98Jun 12, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$16.15Jun 12, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.7% in June?$1.8KJun 12, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$2.70Jun 12, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?$0.35Jun 12, 10:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $171.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 21:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.