All-Guidance
0x04e7539dfbeb3266c685344ab8703a5cc7476446
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$234.88
Total PnL
$-140.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
85 shares @ 76.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$83.98
$18.98
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
68 shares @ 88.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$67.67
$7.67
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
25 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$25.00
$5.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$20.28
$0.28
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
11 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.23
$1.23
- YES
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
10 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.00
$0.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
55 shares @ 18.1¢·now 14.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.93
$-2.07
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
32 shares @ 62.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.29
$-13.71
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.19
$0.16
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
45 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.79
$-0.29
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$25.92Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$102.26Jun 14, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.23Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.07Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.23Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$10.07Jun 14, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $28.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.