Lopsided-Retrospectivity
0x04fb51b0f52b687d917b1fbbe2c861f733fe2f00
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$97.53
Total PnL
$-93.07
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
16 shares @ 94.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.86
$0.86
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 86.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.07
$1.07
- NO
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
11 shares @ 94.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.54
$0.54
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.52
$0.52
- NO
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?
9 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.30
$0.30
- NO
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
9 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.12
$0.12
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 84.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
8 shares @ 92.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.57
$0.57
- NO
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on May 31?
6 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.83
$-0.17
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.42May 23, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.73May 22, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.31May 21, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.36May 20, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on May 31?$6.01May 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$9.00May 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$15.00May 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$10.03May 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$7.03May 19, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$8.00May 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$9.00May 19, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00May 19, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season$4.08May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on April 29?$5.05May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Serbia win Eurovision 2026?$6.10May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 29?$6.12May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 29?$8.33May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 29?$10.03May 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Team Vitality vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs$10.53May 19, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $7.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 13:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".