Tired-Awareness
0x050259ffa579ea18bcdb8a768c13ef37cd6654c6
Activity score
93/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$115.70
Realised
$3.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
600 shares @ 85.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$593.70
$83.70
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?
413 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$407.45
$10.33
- NO
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$376.00
$4.00
- NO
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?
303 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$288.17
$3.03
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
200 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$194.90
$6.90
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
180 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$144.90
$2.70
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
99 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$90.83
$3.47
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.50
$3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$47.008h ago
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$78.3310h ago
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$141.001d ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$348.271d ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$36.521d ago
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$18.803d ago
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$87.363d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$602.343d ago
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?$1.0K3d ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.194d ago
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$46.354d ago
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$12.135d ago
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?$137.075d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$25.325d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$15.675d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$75.205d ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$71.815d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$510.006d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$369.346d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$2.666d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $111.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 12d ago
- Last active
- 8h ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
