Dependable-Designation
0x054652452ddff7e15096e3425539ca3b7edd594b
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$64.62
Total PnL
$-274.57
Realised
$12.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
50 shares @ 63.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.48
$17.98
- YES
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 37.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.14
$5.94
- YES
Will Ms. Rachel be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
128 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.52
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
80 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
70 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
70 shares @ 75.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-52.70
- YES
Will Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
50 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
50 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$12.63Jul 10, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$39.48Jul 3, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jul 1, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$55.00Jul 1, 06:50 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$30.00Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 1, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.04Jun 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donna Vekić be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1.09Jun 30, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$3.67Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1.44Jun 30, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$1.92Jun 30, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ben Shelton be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$2.54Jun 30, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$31.82Jun 30, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?$30.00Jun 19, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$200.00Jun 19, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$50.37Jun 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$51.06Jun 18, 10:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$16.17Jun 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd finish second in the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$44.67Jun 17, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMakerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?$19.48Jun 17, 01:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $29.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 04:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.