0x05a616346d7acb41780a624b3e71e338983f10f1
0x05a616346d7acb41780a624b3e71e338983f10f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$5.01
Total PnL
$-673.99
Realised
$-59.16
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?
1176 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?
423 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.37
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
396 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-253.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?
312 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.17
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
236 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-85.04
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
234 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
188 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS recession by end of 2026?$34.77May 31, 11:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.48May 30, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$9.18May 23, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$20.00May 22, 04:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$33.60May 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$34.40May 19, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$34.75May 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$50.98May 13, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$10.64May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$10.69May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?$0.22May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $78,000 May 4-10?$10.64May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?$10.69May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 4-10?$4.43May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?$2.31May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 4-10?$10.67May 9, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$5.00May 8, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$30.00May 2, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$25.41Apr 29, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$85.44Apr 29, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $42.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 03:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.