Chilly-Shame
0x05fcce89e825ea1514903412e82c296e4757f78e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-724.58
Realised
$6.76
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?
1341 shares @ 74.2¢·now 88.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.2K
$184.75
- NO
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?
623 shares @ 66.4¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$448.56
$34.71
- NO
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
597 shares @ 36.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$379.10
$164.18
- SOMETHING
Nothing Ever Happens: March
597 shares @ 58.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$229.84
$-121.89
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
1341 shares @ 28.1¢·now 14.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$194.42
$-182.94
- YES
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
623 shares @ 31.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$167.90
$-27.95
- NO
Services Down Parlay
60 shares @ 77.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$59.10
$12.91
- YES
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
2962 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-795.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$312.40May 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$121.00May 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$163.20May 13, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$530.40May 13, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$175.50May 11, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$426.02May 11, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$101.45May 11, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$74.85May 11, 01:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.24May 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$38.66May 6, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?$38.64May 6, 13:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.7KMay 6, 13:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 5, 00:13 UTC
- SPLITWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.7KMay 4, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill another outcome occur in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$44.00May 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$50.00May 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$100.00May 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$505.00May 4, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill UAE strike Iran by April 30?$2.9KMay 4, 14:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $126.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 14:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 03:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".