Informal-Picturesque
0x06f8942e0ba0d90c2d2929f2e9ba79a1b031a8e0
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$115.67
Total PnL
$-5.8K
Realised
$-15.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
830 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$62.23
$-2.77
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
369 shares @ 12.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.44
$8.44
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
1300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- INNER CIRCLE ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffs
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
852 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-99.73
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
575 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-78.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
498 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
479 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-99.32
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
441 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$2.09May 18, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$4.19May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$4.18May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$2.09May 18, 04:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$12.49May 18, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$2.08May 18, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$4.14May 18, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$2.12May 18, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$4.14May 18, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$2.07May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$5.23May 17, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.52May 17, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$32.05May 17, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$4.21May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$4.21May 17, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4.20May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$4.19May 17, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$51.86May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$1.06May 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$4.24May 13, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".