Lone-Quota
0x07463bf019661071416f6e773c966349e17bf0a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
188
Open notional
$37.01
Total PnL
$-207.31
Realised
$46.51
Win rate
100%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 188- YES
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 53.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.05
$0.75
- YES
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 26.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.80
$0.60
- YES
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.45
$-0.15
- YES
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
529 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.64
$-3.83
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.35
$0.35
- YES
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.30
$0.30
- YES
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
37 shares @ 5.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.27
$-0.73
- YES
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.25
$0.25
- YES
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.35Jun 2, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$14.56Jun 2, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$13.83Jun 2, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$16.74Jun 2, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$2.17May 17, 07:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$4.23Apr 8, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.70Apr 8, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.66Apr 8, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.00Feb 16, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5.20Feb 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.12Feb 15, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.18Feb 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRelay FDV above $100M one day after launch?$4.60Feb 15, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$5.30Feb 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.34Feb 15, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.98Feb 15, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.38Feb 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.02Feb 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.05Feb 15, 13:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 09:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 15:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".