Beautiful-Plaintiff
0x0770995e6d1f47e20a696e1c177287556873184b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-250.17
Realised
$178.19
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
500 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$442.50
$17.50
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
374 shares @ 40.4¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.23
$142.28
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
287 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$255.29
$-2.87
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
245 shares @ 17.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$35.58
$-7.22
- YES
Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?
675 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-29.40
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
600 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-143.70
- NO
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?
400 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
280 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.53
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
178 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-64.09
- NO
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?
157 shares @ 81.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-127.12
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$191.84Aug 11, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$137.39Aug 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$7.23Aug 10, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?$305.38Aug 10, 14:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$291.35Aug 9, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$13.20Aug 6, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$155.00Aug 5, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$179.41Aug 2, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$154.67Aug 2, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$20.33Aug 1, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.2KAug 1, 21:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$105.69Aug 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$256.15Aug 1, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?$123.01Aug 1, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$425.00Jul 31, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$500.00Jul 29, 12:18 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$90.00Jul 29, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$101.64Jul 26, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$48.36Jul 26, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$400.00Jul 26, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $177.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 12:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 15:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.