Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Probability
29¢
1h
+1.8pp
24h
+1.8pp
24h Vol
$102.45
Liquidity
$708.79
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 29¢; +1.8pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 17.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3082.2h
- 13:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3082h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:45PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 29¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 29¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 28¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.8pp
to 29¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 29¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.6pp
to 29¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 29¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 28¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.1pp
to 29¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 29¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 29¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.2pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.6pp
to 27¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.8pp
to 27¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.2pp
to 27¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.8pp
to 27¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.3pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.9pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.9pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.2pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.4pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.3pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.8pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.4pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 26¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.9pp
to 25¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.8pp
to 25¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 19¢-2.5pp
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $114.36
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will Phil Foden win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $54.35
- 1¢+0.4pp
Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $54.35
- 1¢-0.4pp
Will Eberechi Eze win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $54.35
- 46¢0.0pp
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $210.13
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player D win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player H win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Player L win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-1.8pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 60¢0.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $953.1K
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $853.6K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $806.1K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025-26 PFA Players' Player of the Year. If two or more players are announced as winners of the 2026 PFA Players’ Player of the Year award, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no 2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year winner is declared by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Professional Footballers’ Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Aug 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (17.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).