Hopeful-Contour
0x07e4a017a44cadb8f027e02c06566ff25e376c18
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$395.87
Total PnL
$-153.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
2215 shares @ 9.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$121.84
$-78.16
- NO
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
93 shares @ 53.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$64.49
$14.49
- NO
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
70 shares @ 71.2¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$46.70
$-3.30
- YES
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 13.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$31.41
$21.41
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
277 shares @ 18.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.07
$-20.93
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
196 shares @ 10.2¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.69
$0.69
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
401 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$18.86
$-1.14
- YES
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
584 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$18.38
$-1.62
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
61 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.15
$0.15
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
58 shares @ 17.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.39
$-0.61
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$64.10Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$50.44Jun 12, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?$21.33Jun 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$20.64Jun 12, 11:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?$30.97Jun 12, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$20.00Jun 12, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$10.00Jun 12, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$73.23Jun 12, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?$10.48Jun 12, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$21.68Jun 12, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$238.19Jun 12, 04:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$64.72Jun 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$25.45Jun 11, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$25.44Jun 11, 08:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$31.51Jun 11, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$25.77Jun 11, 08:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.54Jun 10, 11:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $41.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.