0x08b21737f9d4284a17813dcfeb2974d2155efe70
0x08b21737f9d4284a17813dcfeb2974d2155efe70
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$143.90
Total PnL
$143.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
12 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.00
$12.00
- NO
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
26 shares @ 0.0¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.56
$11.56
- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 0.0¢·now 50.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.03
$10.03
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
12 shares @ 0.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.44
$8.44
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?
50 shares @ 0.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.72
$6.72
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.26
$5.26
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.21
$5.21
- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
7 shares @ 0.0¢·now 73.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.98
$4.98
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$4.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.