Stylish-Talent
0x08b7cd0a87a039215f70bbdbcf0dee9639b7cd9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$12.95
Total PnL
$-283.70
Realised
$9.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$6.59
$-3.41
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.86
$-1.14
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
68 shares @ 7.3¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
2167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
953 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - August 31, 12AM ET
756 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
224 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
208 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
88 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.47
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$13.33Jul 12, 04:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-07-11?$10.23Jul 7, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00Jul 7, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$0.00Jul 7, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?$0.00Jul 7, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.29Jul 6, 03:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
11 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.