Live-Exception
0x08fe502e588057412be3f6f9c37caa82ccb4bdae
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$66.05
Total PnL
$-11.95
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.95
$0.95
- YES
Will OpenAI announce a phone in 2026?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.75
$-6.25
- NO
Will Kai Havertz score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$5.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-2.25
- YES
Curaçao leading at halftime?
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Chirayu Rana apologizes for sexual harassment allegations?
40 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCuraçao leading at halftime?$1.03Jun 14, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.47Jun 14, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$4.11Jun 14, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? AND Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$3.08Jun 14, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$38.17Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REWARD$8.17Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$5.13Jun 12, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kai Havertz score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.00Jun 12, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Pulisic score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.65Jun 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.86Jun 12, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Christian Pulisic score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.20Jun 12, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.25Jun 12, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.40Jun 12, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.80Jun 12, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?$11.86Jun 12, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?$12.20Jun 12, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.93Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 15+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.60Jun 12, 09:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$3.92Jun 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$6.48Jun 9, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 18:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 11:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.