Faraway-Strategy
0x09343a349bc2b0840c5b81378a229a4ac084f376
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
38
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$405.98
Realised
$219.03
Win rate
95%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
765 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$758.21
$34.07
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
679 shares @ 81.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$656.41
$102.44
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
555 shares @ 83.7¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$524.23
$59.66
- NO
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
536 shares @ 89.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$482.77
$5.42
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
372 shares @ 88.4¢·now 93.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$346.53
$17.67
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
350 shares @ 59.0¢·now 53.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$186.72
$-19.82
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$97.45
$11.45
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$83.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings
64 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$62.40
$0.32
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
51 shares @ 70.9¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.00
$2.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?$2.00Jul 29, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.58Jul 29, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$3.61Jul 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$2.60Jul 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$1.00Jul 29, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$5.54Jul 29, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.38Jul 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.12Jul 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.14Jul 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.12Jul 29, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.60Jul 29, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.47Jul 29, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$0.31Jul 29, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$10.00Jul 29, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$1.50Jul 29, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 31?$13.80Jul 29, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?$1.00Jul 29, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$4.69Jul 29, 19:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.50Jul 29, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.00Jul 29, 19:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
95% win rate over 22 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
22 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 23:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.