Bland-Sleet-Algorithm
0x097ba833768320c36058a99713b7de383a036eac
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$3.94
Total PnL
$-30.84
Realised
$-1.79
Win rate
0%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?
2 shares @ 80.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$2.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
48 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?
45 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
43 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Maverick McNealy win the 2026 PGA Championship?
39 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
31 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
31 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?$2.06May 16, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.07May 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.97May 16, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.72May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?$0.72May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.67May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.32May 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$4.94May 16, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$0.00May 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.05May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.05May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.06May 16, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$0.56May 16, 16:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.