Impolite-Mode
0x09e27c2cbcd98c7e821ef66b309506701dcf29de
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$452.68
Realised
$265.34
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
641 shares @ 67.6¢·now 95.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$611.54
$178.06
- NO
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
550 shares @ 41.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$506.00
$280.20
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
570 shares @ 43.7¢·now 63.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$361.95
$112.82
- YES
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
423 shares @ 41.6¢·now 80.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$339.06
$163.11
- NO
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
334 shares @ 66.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$231.82
$8.77
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$97.50
$17.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
223 shares @ 44.8¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$97.00
$-2.95
- NO
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
74 shares @ 48.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$71.74
$36.22
- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
2 shares @ 14.6¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.99
$0.70
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
909 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-85.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?$226.01Jun 18, 20:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon post "Always" on X this week?$32.00Jun 16, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon post "Always" on X this week?$28.15Jun 15, 23:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.5KJun 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$164.34Jun 14, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.0KJun 14, 21:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.92Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$1.42Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$248.00Jun 13, 22:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$96.07Jun 13, 20:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $60.42Jun 13, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$55.00Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$8.00Jun 13, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$47.92Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $1.1KJun 13, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$1.20Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 14, 2026? $1.93Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$1.07Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$1.93Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$894.18Jun 13, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $132.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 17:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.