Notable-Mirror
0x0a2fe40eaeda7aff61f022d91cba2c0699045e54
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$385.52
Total PnL
$-101.02
Realised
$-0.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?
240 shares @ 25.6¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$80.40
$18.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
90 shares @ 52.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$65.25
$18.45
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 20.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$53.90
$12.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
123 shares @ 38.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$33.28
$-13.56
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20 shares @ 83.2¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$15.05
$-1.59
- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
25 shares @ 63.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.38
$-3.38
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
180 shares @ 21.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.45
$-28.35
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in July?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.44
$3.14
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.30
$0.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
10 shares @ 67.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.10
$2.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin July 21-27?$10.00Jul 28, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $230 end of July?$5.00Jul 28, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?$25.90Jul 28, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$7.28Jul 28, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$6.89Jul 28, 04:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$3.35Jul 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?$1.65Jul 27, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in July?$3.60Jul 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July?$4.32Jul 27, 08:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$0.41Jul 25, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$1.53Jul 25, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$1.53Jul 25, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?$1.53Jul 25, 12:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.84Jul 24, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.92Jul 24, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 04:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.