Cheap-Halibut
0x0a57ce440dede007e898cc3fa9dfdc7ffa92dc32
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$80.19
Total PnL
$-166.90
Realised
$-33.06
Win rate
30%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$12.90
$0.29
- YES
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
13 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$12.88
$0.14
- YES
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
14 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$12.88
$0.28
- YES
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.94
$0.00
- YES
No one announced as next James Bond?
5 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.35
$-0.15
- YES
Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond?
367 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.12
$-0.55
- YES
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 1.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.66
$1.33
- YES
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.02
- YES
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.96
$0.16
- YES
Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.94
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?$5.94Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$13.03Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$3.00Jun 12, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.05Jun 12, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.05Jun 12, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$0.05Jun 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?$1.18Jun 12, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?$2.00Jun 11, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win on 2026-06-19?$0.89Jun 11, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mark Warner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Virginia?$1.03Jun 10, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?$1.00Jun 10, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?$164.84Jun 10, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.01Jun 9, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.03Jun 9, 12:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.06Jun 9, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.12Jun 9, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? $0.26Jun 9, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?$0.92Jun 8, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.96Jun 7, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?$0.00Jun 7, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.