Sniveling-Termination
0x0b2474e876a97b56c1317534d999fe8dcfad9024
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$11.79
Total PnL
$-37.71
Realised
$0.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.79
$0.79
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-09?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.41Jul 31, 22:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.12Jul 31, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31?$1.41Jul 31, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no listed leader be out before 2027?$1.00Jul 31, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 31, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?$1.00Jul 31, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?$1.00Jul 31, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.02Jul 31, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 31?$1.01Jul 31, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$1.01Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-09?$1.01Jul 31, 12:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.37Jul 29, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.13Jul 27, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.16Jul 27, 16:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?$2.78Jul 20, 21:27 UTC
- REDEEMTamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?$2.29Jul 20, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Team to Advance$1.02Jul 13, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sofia host Eurovision 2027?$1.01Jul 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.01Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.01Jul 13, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 14:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 22:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.