Giddy-Takeover
0x0b371d0defc6d9f50175144b7dc889a0f521f48e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.03
Total PnL
$-40.62
Realised
$9.14
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.53
$-0.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
402 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?
225 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
110 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
106 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026?$0.05Aug 4, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$1.28Aug 2, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$1.29Aug 2, 21:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.98Jul 31, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.87Jul 31, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$4.14Jul 31, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$1.04Jul 30, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?$2.15Jul 30, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.07Jul 30, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$2.03Jul 30, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.04Jul 30, 14:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$0.00Jul 30, 14:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.79Jul 30, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Jul 30, 13:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.47Jul 30, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.02Jul 30, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$1.01Jul 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$1.01Jul 30, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$2.05Jul 30, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.03Jul 30, 13:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 00:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.