Traumatic-Yogurt
0x0b463f7f0f7d486b5f2329f1be8b144969ad625f
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$885.02
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-142.31
Win rate
54%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
143 shares @ 74.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.82
$9.12
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
196 shares @ 56.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$71.64
$-38.23
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
75 shares @ 73.5¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$57.42
$2.42
- YES
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
67 shares @ 67.2¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$49.24
$4.24
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
328 shares @ 27.4¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.60
$-42.40
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
145 shares @ 40.6¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$47.26
$-11.74
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
108 shares @ 51.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.74
$-17.25
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
223 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
205 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.21
$0.21
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
91 shares @ 43.7¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.48
$-7.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.52Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$15.00Jun 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$13.03Jun 13, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$5.00Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$50.00Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$50.00Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$89.70Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$35.00Jun 13, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$20.00Jun 13, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$20.00Jun 13, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$102.68Jun 13, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$15.00Jun 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.50Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.50Jun 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$16.20Jun 13, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$40.37Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$50.38Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$50.48Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $26.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.