Ethical-Pathology
0x0b57ba8d7942493f2a2d6dfaf96fbba904245975
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$4.8K
Total PnL
$-177.80
Realised
$26.89
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
1000 shares @ 53.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$535.00
$5.00
- YES
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
690 shares @ 67.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$444.76
$-17.24
- YES
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
866 shares @ 48.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$437.19
$21.64
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
1091 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$354.57
$5.46
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
838 shares @ 53.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$297.49
$-146.65
- YES
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
550 shares @ 37.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$217.14
$9.04
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
839 shares @ 22.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$213.94
$29.37
- YES
Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
300 shares @ 77.3¢·now 70.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$210.75
$-21.15
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
819 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$192.47
$-36.85
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
550 shares @ 27.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$181.50
$33.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?$78.10Aug 21, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in NYC be between $636,000 and $663,000 on September 30?$21.94Aug 21, 07:36 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$0.92Aug 21, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$5.10Aug 21, 06:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$2.55Aug 21, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$10.00Aug 21, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?$202.90Aug 21, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Aug 21, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$2.04Aug 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?$120.00Aug 20, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$145.42Aug 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$52.58Aug 20, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$3.98Aug 20, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$97.00Aug 20, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$73.39Aug 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?$135.74Aug 20, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$20.00Aug 20, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.65Aug 20, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00Aug 20, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$124.00Aug 20, 16:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $94.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 07:56 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.