Easy-Snorer
0x0b8baf36e2176658169c019104fb6b1cd99d2183
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$47.98
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
400 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$385.00
$23.00
- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
405 shares @ 77.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$299.79
$-13.20
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
238 shares @ 84.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$202.38
$2.38
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?
208 shares @ 96.3¢·now 96.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$200.70
$0.70
- NO
Will Venezuela become 51st state?
90 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$87.23
$0.61
- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?
220 shares @ 84.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.18
$-161.82
- YES
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
380 shares @ 26.5¢·now 6.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$23.37
$-77.23
- NO
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price reach 10 ETH before 2027?
22 shares @ 76.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$12.55
$-4.04
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$-21.20
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5755 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.94
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$200.90Jul 20, 06:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$200.00Jul 19, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?$200.00Jul 19, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$200.04Jul 19, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?$30.00Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?$33.74Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill BNP Paribas fail by June 30, 2026?$50.00Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?$51.12Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.00Jul 19, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $200.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.