Record crypto liquidation in 2026?
Probability
15¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$2.32
Liquidity
$8.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-1.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 15¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $8.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5972.1h
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 15¢.
Biggest hourly move: -4.0pp at 1d ago (to 14¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -3.5pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 13¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total crypto liquidations event exceeds the highest liquidation amount ever recorded ($19.16B) at any point in 2026, as tracked by CoinGlass. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData), specifically the “Top 10 Crypto Liquidation Events of All Time.” If CoinGlass data becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingLinkTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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