CryptoExpires Jan 1, 2027

Record crypto liquidation in 2026?

Probability

15¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$2.32

Liquidity

$8.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

-1.5pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 10:00Apr 27, 2026, 08:55
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 15¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $8.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5972.1h

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 15¢.

Biggest hourly move: -4.0pp at 1d ago (to 14¢).

Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -3.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -3.5pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 14¢
  • 2d ago · -3.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 13¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total crypto liquidations event exceeds the highest liquidation amount ever recorded ($19.16B) at any point in 2026, as tracked by CoinGlass. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be CoinGlass liquidation data (https://www.coinglass.com/LiquidationData), specifically the “Top 10 Crypto Liquidation Events of All Time.” If CoinGlass data becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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