0x0b9168da5620dfab028b53c753a3be88d585ae77
0x0b9168da5620dfab028b53c753a3be88d585ae77
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$8.3K
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$735.95
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
2614 shares @ 33.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.6K
$1.7K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1967 shares @ 67.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.9K
$630.32
- YES
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
1143 shares @ 39.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$598.81
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 11.3¢·now 10.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$-85.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20589 shares @ 3.8¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$893.56
$116.29
- YES
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
870 shares @ 46.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$239.13
$-160.87
- NO
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
475 shares @ 42.6¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$237.69
$35.44
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1320 shares @ 8.5¢·now 9.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$123.46
$10.79
- YES
Will Cody Gakpo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$90.00
$50.00
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1108 shares @ 13.7¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$29.36
$-122.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$406.48Jun 28, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$8.49Jun 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$46.22Jun 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$1.61Jun 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$51.04Jun 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$6.22Jun 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-27?$20.97Jun 28, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$167.68Jun 28, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$315.99Jun 28, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$2.16Jun 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$128.27Jun 28, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$33.57Jun 28, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$215.00Jun 28, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$360.00Jun 28, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$64.61Jun 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$5.38Jun 28, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$45.88Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$0.20Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$1.06Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$100.86Jun 28, 00:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $88.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.