Verifiable-Geography
0x0c153bcbbced5e9642be8be92d3d69b7165603de
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$16.47
Total PnL
$-49.12
Realised
$-4.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?
30 shares @ 51.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$12.30
$-3.00
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
110 shares @ 3.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.48
$-1.38
- YES
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$-8.85
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?
9 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.54
$-0.09
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-20.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.08May 15, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?$15.67May 14, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in May 2026?$0.59May 14, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$7.36May 14, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$6.90May 14, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$5.20May 14, 09:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$1.30May 14, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$3.48May 13, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$5.80May 13, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$6.63May 13, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$1.33May 12, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$3.37May 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$1.64May 5, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$0.80May 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$0.20May 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$6.00May 4, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$4.18May 3, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$0.96May 3, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?$0.64May 3, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?$2.74Apr 28, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".