Spry-Solution
0x0c8ff5a768767ff83f59bf13c73939a89d391cb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
81
Open notional
$445.38
Total PnL
$-258.14
Realised
$296.94
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 81- NO
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
146 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$145.65
$45.65
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
90 shares @ 6.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.56
$83.44
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
80 shares @ 33.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.16
$53.33
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
44 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$44.12
$14.12
- NO
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
21 shares @ 72.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.66
$5.66
- YES
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
417 shares @ 12.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.92
$-37.08
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 83.4¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.67
$0.67
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
62 shares @ 18.8¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.29
$-2.34
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
24 shares @ 16.4¢·now 32.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.83
$3.83
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
58 shares @ 13.9¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.79
$-0.21
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$52.09Apr 25, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?$1.54Apr 25, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMGPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?$4.55Apr 25, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?$8.33Apr 25, 23:06 UTC
- REDEEMClaude 4.7 released by May 31?$19.28Apr 25, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI GPT score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$50.00Apr 15, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLClaude 4.7 released by June 30?$176.06Apr 15, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$30.00Apr 5, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$30.00Apr 5, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?$20.00Apr 5, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?$3.00Apr 5, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$2.82Apr 5, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$3.00Apr 5, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$2.00Apr 5, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 5, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?$2.00Apr 5, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$10.00Apr 5, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$5.00Apr 5, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$5.00Apr 5, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $24.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 23:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.