Indolent-Sandal
0x0c99e528d01b62a2ff9e9982e2913d2e935287cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
198
Open notional
$12.1K
Total PnL
$-26.2K
Realised
$5.1K
Win rate
79%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 198- NO
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
5911 shares @ 79.6¢·now 89.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$5.3K
$556.05
- NO
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
8925 shares @ 81.9¢·now 54.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.8K
$-2.5K
- NO
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
710 shares @ 87.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$677.82
$54.45
- NO
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
499 shares @ 87.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2026$469.73
$34.89
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1458 shares @ 26.1¢·now 24.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$356.51
$-23.54
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
353 shares @ 92.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$295.16
$-32.92
- YES
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1588 shares @ 8.5¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$65.89
$-68.85
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
56 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$53.45
$1.99
- NO
Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
142 shares @ 38.8¢·now 27.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$38.33
$-16.78
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
6 shares @ 78.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$5.74
$1.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?$0.36Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$25.00Jul 20, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.0KJul 20, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.7KJul 20, 00:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.68Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$500.00Jul 20, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Cup Goals H2H: Yamal vs. Mbappe$110.80Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill 9+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$53.01Jul 19, 23:45 UTC
- REDEEMPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$75.00Jul 19, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$468.93Jul 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55.89Jul 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$122.05Jul 19, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?$22.61Jul 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$210.57Jul 19, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$157.03Jul 19, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?$6.97Jul 19, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?$1.00Jul 19, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWorld Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?$1.00Jul 19, 09:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.3K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 15, 15:00 UTC → Jun 15, 14:58 UTC
- SELLWill the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$6.3K@100¢Jun 15, 14:58 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
79% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
66 closed markets, 79% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
$6.3K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $77.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 08:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.