Lavish-Attendance
0x0caa56592e16ba8136ce7bd94e8c57ba439bfb12
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$776.57
Total PnL
$60.65
Realised
$-20.88
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
821 shares @ 80.0¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$756.14
$99.34
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.30
$-0.90
- NO
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
2 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$0.50
- YES
Over $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.13
$-0.61
- YES
Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026?
42 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-16.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by at least 6%?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMDundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMEast Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 25 be between 2,250,000 and 2,500,000?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMHapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?$971.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- REDEEMManchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.86Jun 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$29.90Jun 16, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026$149.76Jun 16, 04:16 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO before 2027?$111.98Apr 27, 09:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 58% and 59%?$44.00Apr 17, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$55.77Apr 12, 08:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$15.08Apr 12, 08:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $355.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.