Infatuated-Convenience
0x0d16879780c9a5b58d53effa65fa126e4c1c064f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-156.22
Realised
$4.22
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 27?
323 shares @ -0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 27?
323 shares @ -0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C or below on April 27?
323 shares @ -0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$2.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?
283 shares @ -0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$2.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
277 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
277 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$1.02
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
277 shares @ -0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$1.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 27?
247 shares @ -0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$1.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
244 shares @ -0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$1.91
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
244 shares @ -0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$1.91
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$0.14Jul 8, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.44Jul 8, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$3.02Jul 6, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?$3.02Jul 6, 17:39 UTC
- REDEEMBank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2026 meeting?$0.16Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?$0.40Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?$0.47Jun 18, 16:14 UTC
- CONVERSIONCO-08 Democratic Primary Winner$18.21Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$3.13Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dave Young be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$3.64Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amie Baca-Oehlert be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$3.64Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Szemler be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$3.62Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yadira Caraveo be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$3.64Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$0.40Jun 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?$0.06Jun 16, 11:19 UTC
- CONVERSIONHighest temperature in Moscow on June 16?$36.00Jun 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 16?$1.50Jun 16, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?$0.27Jun 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 16?$0.48Jun 16, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 16?$8.75Jun 16, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $5.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 10:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 16:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.