Exemplary-Tick
0x0d4147fea90bce769235ad3e00a4f146df7c246f
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$423.02
Total PnL
$-298.49
Realised
$-2.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
337 shares @ 47.8¢·now 40.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$136.48
$-24.57
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
429 shares @ 23.1¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$109.28
$10.29
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
102 shares @ 39.1¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.94
$3.94
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
81 shares @ 62.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$38.31
$-11.69
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
45 shares @ 44.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$20.91
$0.91
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
178 shares @ 16.8¢·now 11.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$20.76
$-9.24
- YES
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
77 shares @ 39.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$20.38
$-9.62
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.45
$6.45
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.79
$-2.21
- YES
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
74 shares @ 12.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$4.90
$-4.37
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $58.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.